Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Visby/Roma HK (Local): 24.32%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 54.89%; Draw: 20.79%. For Visby/Roma HK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.42%.
8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV +9.42%E +2.09%K +2.69%G +0.254% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -7.78%E -4.63%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -8.51%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV +9.42%E +2.09%K +2.69%G +0.254% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -7.78%E -4.63%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -8.51%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV +9.42%E +2.09%K +2.69%G +0.254% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -7.78%E -4.63%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -8.51%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV +9.42%E +2.09%K +2.69%G +0.254% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -7.78%E -4.63%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -8.51%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +6.99%E +1.59%K +2.06%G +0.144% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -9.98%E -6.08%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +6.99%E +1.59%K +2.06%G +0.144% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -9.98%E -6.08%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +6.99%E +1.59%K +2.06%G +0.144% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -9.98%E -6.08%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV +4.56%E +1.06%K +1.38%G +0.063% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -12.17%E -7.61%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +2.13%E +0.506%K +0.664%G +0.014% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -7.78%E -4.63%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.35%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -8.88%E -5.35%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.51%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-23 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.73%EV -6.63%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.98%E -6.08%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.51%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-23 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.43%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.25%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.32%EV -8.88%E -5.35%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-23 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 11:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66% | 8.3% | 2026-09-23 17:01 |