Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Visby/Roma HK v Kalmar HC

2026-09-23 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

26%

52%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Visby/Roma HK (Local)

Prediction 26.42%3.79fair odd

EV +0.381%

Edge +0.100%

Kelly +0.136%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.00%26.42%26.39%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.663.753.8029.41%27.35%26.67%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar HC (Visit)

Prediction 51.88%1.93fair odd

EV -5.58%

Edge -3.07%

Kelly -6.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.51%51.88%51.70%52.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.781.781.8257.80%56.13%56.18%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd

EV -6.67%

Edge -1.55%

Kelly -2.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.20%21.70%21.91%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.104.234.254.3024.39%23.62%23.53%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Visby/Roma HK (Local): 26.42%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 51.88%; Draw: 21.70%. For Visby/Roma HK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.80, producing a positive expected value of +0.381%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV +0.381%E +0.100%K +0.136%G +0.001%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.57%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.80%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -6.67%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-21 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV +0.381%E +0.100%K +0.136%G +0.001%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.57%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.80%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -6.67%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-21 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV +0.381%E +0.100%K +0.136%G +0.001%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.57%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.80%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -6.67%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-21 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV +0.381%E +0.100%K +0.136%G +0.001%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.57%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.80%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -6.67%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-21 22:54
Unibet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.940%E -0.251%K -0.342%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.84%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-21 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.940%E -0.251%K -0.342%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.84%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-21 22:54
Grosvenor🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.940%E -0.251%K -0.342%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.84%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-21 22:54
TABtouch🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -10.25%E -5.92%K -14.04%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.01%E -2.69%K -3.55%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-09-21 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.54%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.84%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-21 23:10
1xBet🎯	3.48I 28.74%NM 26.41%EV -8.07%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.94%K -11.44%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.67%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-21 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.15%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.67%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-21 23:44
Codere (IT)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.01%E -2.69%K -3.55%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-21 23:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%	10.3%	2026-09-21 23:10