The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Visby/Roma HK v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC

Final: Visby/Roma HK 4–3 BIK Karlskoga

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Visby/Roma HK (Local)

Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd
EV +23.51%
Edge +5.00%
Kelly +6.35%
Growth +1.49%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.23%25.19%26.39%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.383.863.954.7029.59%25.94%25.32%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 52.86%1.89fair odd
EV -6.44%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -8.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.83%54.13%52.74%60.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.711.731.7763.29%58.31%57.97%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.246%
Kelly +0.309%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%20.68%20.87%21.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.434.404.8523.53%22.56%22.73%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Visby/Roma HK (Local): 26.28%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 52.86%; Draw: 20.86%. For Visby/Roma HK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.51%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +23.51%E +5.00%K +6.35%G +1.49%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.17%EV -16.49%E -10.43%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.60%EV +1.19%E +0.246%K +0.309%G +0.004%5.2%2026-10-16 16:58
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +7.74%E +1.89%K +2.50%G +0.193%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.22%EV -8.03%E -4.61%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +7.74%E +1.89%K +2.50%G +0.193%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.22%EV -8.03%E -4.61%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +7.74%E +1.89%K +2.50%G +0.193%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.22%EV -8.03%E -4.61%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +7.74%E +1.89%K +2.50%G +0.193%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.22%EV -8.03%E -4.61%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 16:35
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +3.80%E +0.962%K +1.29%G +0.049%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.61%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +3.80%E +0.962%K +1.29%G +0.049%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.61%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +3.80%E +0.962%K +1.29%G +0.049%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.61%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:35
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.17%E +0.305%K +0.411%G +0.005%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -12.79%E -7.75%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 16:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.88%EV -9.61%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.28%EV -11.33%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-16 16:20
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -9.61%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-16 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 26.94%EV -11.18%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.03%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%5.1%2026-10-16 16:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%5.1%2026-10-16 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%7.3%2026-10-16 16:25
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-16 16:15
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-16 16:15
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%8.6%2026-10-16 16:30