The School of Odds
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Vimmerby HC v Visby/Roma HK

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC

Final: Vimmerby HC 2–4 Visby/Roma HK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 54.89%1.82fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -8.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.32%54.87%54.93%56.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.671.7162.11%59.63%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Visby/Roma HK (Visit)

Prediction 24.28%4.12fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.17%24.24%24.29%24.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.054.154.3027.40%24.69%24.10%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.83%4.80fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%20.89%20.78%21.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.424.404.6023.53%22.62%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 54.89%; Visby/Roma HK (Visit): 24.28%; Draw: 20.83%. For Visby/Roma HK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV +4.40%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.059%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV +4.40%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.059%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV +4.40%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.059%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV +4.40%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.059%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 16:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.33%E -4.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.97%E +0.469%K +0.615%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.33%E -4.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.97%E +0.469%K +0.615%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.33%E -4.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.97%E +0.469%K +0.615%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.45%EV -11.62%E -7.22%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -0.459%E -0.112%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -11.48%E -2.70%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-25 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.13%E -3.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.89%E -0.722%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.20%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 15:50
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.33%E -4.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-25 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.74%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-25 16:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -8.33%E -4.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -11.48%E -2.70%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-25 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.32%EV -8.88%E -5.35%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.38%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-25 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%5.2%2026-09-25 16:59
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%5.2%2026-09-25 16:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-09-25 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-09-25 11:50
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-09-25 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-09-25 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%8.1%2026-09-25 16:25
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 65.36%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.64%8.5%2026-09-25 16:15