The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Vimmerby HC v Östersunds IK

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 42.70%2.34fair odd
EV -6.92%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.10%42.82%42.79%43.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.172.1847.62%46.34%46.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds IK (Visit)

Prediction 34.07%2.94fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.42%33.94%34.07%34.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.702.702.8538.46%37.06%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.23%4.30fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.755%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.24%23.15%24.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.204.2026.67%24.47%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 42.70%; Östersunds IK (Visit): 34.07%; Draw: 23.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02%EV -6.92%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 18:05
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -6.92%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -7.68%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.03%EV -11.24%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 08:59
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:50
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:50
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.21%EV -7.77%E -3.60%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.41%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -7.77%E -3.60%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.99%EV -8.70%E -3.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.84%EV -11.24%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.04%EV -9.48%E -4.47%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.70%EV -10.40%E -3.96%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 08:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 42.79%EV -9.91%E -4.69%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-23 23:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.43%E -4.39%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-24 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-02-24 08:59
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-02-24 08:59
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%6.8%2026-02-25 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%7.1%2026-02-25 15:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-02-25 16:59