Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC

Final: Vimmerby HC 3–2 Modo Hockey

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV +3.88%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%28.13%28.44%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.603.6531.75%28.84%27.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 49.38%2.02fair odd
EV -7.16%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -8.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.74%49.64%49.41%52.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.8857.14%54.39%54.05%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%22.23%22.16%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.254.304.4025.00%23.51%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 28.46%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 49.38%; Draw: 22.16%. For Vimmerby HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.88%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV +3.88%E +1.06%K +1.46%G +0.057%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.51%E -0.570%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV +3.88%E +1.06%K +1.46%G +0.057%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.51%E -0.570%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV +3.88%E +1.06%K +1.46%G +0.057%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.51%E -0.570%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV +3.88%E +1.06%K +1.46%G +0.057%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.51%E -0.570%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 02:05
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV +2.45%E +0.681%K +0.943%G +0.023%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 15:55
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +2.45%E +0.681%K +0.943%G +0.023%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -10.62%E -5.86%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 21:44
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +2.45%E +0.681%K +0.943%G +0.023%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -10.62%E -5.86%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +2.45%E +0.681%K +0.943%G +0.023%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -10.62%E -5.86%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 21:44
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -0.393%E -0.112%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 17:05
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 28.45%EV -8.08%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-30 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.29%EV -8.36%E -2.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.50%EV -9.13%E -4.96%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 16:45
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-29 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.19%EV -9.13%E -4.96%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-29 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.1%2026-09-29 13:20
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.1%2026-09-29 13:19
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%7.3%2026-09-30 16:50
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%7.5%2026-09-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%7.5%2026-09-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%7.5%2026-09-29 16:39
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%7.5%2026-09-29 16:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%8.1%2026-09-30 05:05