The School of Odds
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Vimmerby HC v Kalmar HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Vimmerby HC 4–5 Kalmar HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 24.93%4.01fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +0.715%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%24.93%24.80%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.934.004.1027.78%25.44%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar HC (Visit)

Prediction 53.86%1.86fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%53.86%53.93%55.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.48%58.65%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.21%4.71fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%21.21%21.27%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.434.504.5023.26%22.56%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 24.93%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 53.86%; Draw: 21.21%. For Vimmerby HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.22%E +0.540%K +0.715%G +0.016%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.36%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.22%E +0.540%K +0.715%G +0.016%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.36%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.22%E +0.540%K +0.715%G +0.016%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.36%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.22%E +0.540%K +0.715%G +0.016%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.36%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 08:45
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.278%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.278%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 08:50
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.278%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.54%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 08:45
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -11.67%E -7.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.79%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 08:50
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 20:35
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 24.67%EV -7.26%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.79%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 20:33
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.79%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.90%E -4.62%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 07:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-10-05 09:10
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-10-05 09:05
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.86%7.8%2026-10-04 20:34
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%10.3%2026-10-05 07:40