The School of Odds
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Vimmerby HC v IK Oskarshamn

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Final: Vimmerby HC 1–4 IK Oskarshamn

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 35.20%2.84fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.01%35.42%35.35%37.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.702.732.8039.22%37.06%36.70%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV +0.524%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.372%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.54%41.45%41.54%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.212.202.4146.73%45.15%45.45%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -5.32%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.12%23.11%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.004.004.1025.77%24.97%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 35.20%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 41.71%; Draw: 23.09%. For IK Oskarshamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.524%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22%EV -9.90%E -3.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.54%EV +0.524%E +0.218%K +0.372%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 09:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.45%E -0.518%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.45%E -0.518%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.45%E -0.518%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.45%E -0.518%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.45%EV -8.49%E -3.26%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -7.40%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:54
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -3.21%E -1.17%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -3.21%E -1.17%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -3.21%E -1.17%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:39
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.97%E -1.84%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.32%EV -9.49%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.67%EV -10.40%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.35%EV -10.25%E -4.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.54%EV -9.49%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.13%EV -6.03%E -2.26%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.49%EV -10.40%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:44
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.49%E -3.26%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:29
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.27%EV -6.73%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.44%EV -10.74%E -5.02%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-09-20 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-09-20 14:29
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%7.3%2026-09-20 12:54
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%8.0%2026-09-20 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-09-20 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-09-20 04:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-09-20 04:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-09-20 04:14