Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.928%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%25.02%25.67%25.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.804.1028.57%26.45%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -8.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.90%53.22%52.84%55.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7760.61%58.78%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.71%4.61fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -0.981%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.18%21.76%21.49%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.284.304.4525.00%23.35%23.26%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 25.32%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 52.97%; Draw: 21.71%. For Vimmerby HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.81%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV +3.81%E +0.928%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -8.89%E -5.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV -3.39%E -0.761%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 17:59
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:00
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -11.01%E -6.55%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -11.01%E -6.55%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -11.01%E -6.55%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 18:00
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -12.07%E -7.27%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 18:00
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.98%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 17:54
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -12.60%E -7.64%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-23 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 24.49%EV -5.81%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.42%E -5.51%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.98%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.42%E -5.51%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-23 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-23 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%6.3%2026-02-23 17:57
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%6.4%2026-02-23 18:00
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%6.4%2026-02-23 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-02-23 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-02-23 17:59
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-02-23 18:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-02-23 17:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-02-23 18:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%8.3%2026-02-23 18:00