Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC v Almtuna IS

2026-10-02 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 43.27%2.31fair odd
EV +3.84%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.69%42.45%43.27%43.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.192.182.4048.31%45.76%45.87%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almtuna IS (Visit)

Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.62%34.79%34.02%37.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.802.8539.22%36.28%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.72%4.40fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%22.76%22.72%23.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.064.104.1525.64%24.65%24.39%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vimmerby HC (Local): 43.27%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 34.02%; Draw: 22.72%. For Vimmerby HC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.40, producing a positive expected value of +3.84%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -3.52%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -3.52%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -3.52%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -3.52%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 20:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%EV -5.68%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%EV -5.68%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 20:54
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%EV -5.68%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 20:54
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.09%EV -7.85%E -3.68%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.62%EV -7.13%E -2.61%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.29%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-30 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.44%EV -8.28%E -3.90%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-30 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.94%EV -8.28%E -3.90%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.41%E -2.92%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 20:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.16%EV -8.71%E -4.13%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.11%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 20:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -10.44%E -5.04%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.13%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-30 20:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%5.3%2026-09-30 20:54
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%5.3%2026-09-30 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%7.0%2026-09-30 20:55