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Vimmerby HC v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 32.60%3.07fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%32.85%32.58%34.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.882.8836.36%35.13%34.72%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 43.92%2.28fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.81%43.78%43.98%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.082.082.2249.02%48.02%48.08%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.440%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%23.37%23.43%23.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.104.2026.67%24.87%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 32.60%; AIK (Visit): 43.92%; Draw: 23.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.10%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -8.64%E -4.16%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.76%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.87%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.08%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.78%EV -9.39%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -7.08%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 11:44
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.55%EV -8.71%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.67%EV -10.40%E -5.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.10%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 11:44
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -10.34%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -1.41%E -0.336%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:22
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.34%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 11:44
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.34%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%5.2%2026-03-01 13:44
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%5.2%2026-03-01 13:44
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%6.8%2026-02-28 17:32
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%7.1%2026-02-28 19:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%7.1%2026-02-28 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%7.1%2026-02-28 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%7.1%2026-02-28 17:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%7.1%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-03-01 15:20