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Vimmerby HC v AIK

2026-09-23 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vimmerby HC (Local)

Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV +8.77%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +3.25%
Growth +0.285%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%29.28%29.40%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.463.603.7032.79%28.91%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.62%48.38%48.22%50.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.872.0055.56%53.28%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.39%4.47fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%22.34%22.39%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.074.104.3025.64%24.57%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vimmerby HC (Local): 29.40%; AIK (Visit): 48.22%; Draw: 22.39%. For Vimmerby HC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.70, producing a positive expected value of +8.77%.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +8.77%E +2.37%K +3.25%G +0.285%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -8.87%E -4.69%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +8.77%E +2.37%K +3.25%G +0.285%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -8.87%E -4.69%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +8.77%E +2.37%K +3.25%G +0.285%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -8.87%E -4.69%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +8.77%E +2.37%K +3.25%G +0.285%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -8.87%E -4.69%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 22:14
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -10.32%E -5.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 22:14
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -10.80%E -5.84%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -10.80%E -5.84%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 22:14
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV +2.89%E +0.827%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -13.21%E -7.34%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.69%E -3.25%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 22:14
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.12%EV -3.87%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -10.32%E -5.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.16%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -11.28%E -6.13%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-21 22:24
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -3.74%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 22:18
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.26%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 22:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -9.84%E -5.26%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%5.3%2026-09-21 22:18
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%5.3%2026-09-21 22:19
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%7.0%2026-09-21 22:24
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.57%10.4%2026-09-21 22:24