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Vimmerby HC v AIK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vimmerby HC (Local)
assuming max odds 4.00
AIK (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.84
Draw
assuming max odds 4.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vimmerby HC (Local): 26.97%; AIK (Visit): 50.83%; Draw: 22.20%. For Vimmerby HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.88%.
8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV +7.88%E +1.97%K +2.63%G +0.207% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.09%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -6.78%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV +7.88%E +1.97%K +2.63%G +0.207% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.09%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -6.78%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV +7.88%E +1.97%K +2.63%G +0.207% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.09%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -6.78%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV +7.88%E +1.97%K +2.63%G +0.207% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.09%EV -7.99%E -4.41%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -6.78%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV +5.18%E +1.33%K +1.79%G +0.093% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.00%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV +5.18%E +1.33%K +1.79%G +0.093% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.00%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV +5.18%E +1.33%K +1.79%G +0.093% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.00%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV +2.48%E +0.654%K +0.887%G +0.022% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.11%EV -13.07%E -7.65%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -0.212%E -0.057%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -1.23%E -0.276%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 15:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.51%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -7.89%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-23 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.21%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.82%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -7.89%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-23 15:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.30%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.52%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.78%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.22%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-23 08:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.22%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-23 08:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12% | 7.3% | 2026-09-23 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54% | 8.3% | 2026-09-23 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |