Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås IK v Södertälje SK

2026-09-23 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

29%

48%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås IK (Local)

Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd

EV -1.48%

Edge -0.436%

Kelly -0.617%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.07%28.98%28.68%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.213.213.4032.79%31.14%31.20%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Södertälje SK (Visit)

Prediction 47.97%2.08fair odd

EV -5.49%

Edge -2.79%

Kelly -5.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.76%47.97%48.26%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.851.931.941.9754.05%51.88%51.68%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd

EV +1.43%

Edge +0.324%

Kelly +0.420%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.62%23.05%23.05%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.944.244.354.4025.38%23.58%22.99%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Västerås IK (Local): 28.98%; Södertälje SK (Visit): 47.97%; Draw: 23.05%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.40, producing a positive expected value of +1.43%.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV +1.43%E +0.324%K +0.420%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-21 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV +1.43%E +0.324%K +0.420%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-21 04:19
ATG (SE)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV +1.43%E +0.324%K +0.420%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-21 04:19
Svenska Spel🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV +1.43%E +0.324%K +0.420%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-21 04:19
Unibet🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.89%E -4.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.274%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-21 04:23
Grosvenor🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.89%E -4.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.274%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-21 04:19
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.89%E -4.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.274%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-21 04:19
TABtouch🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.25%E -6.08%K -13.24%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.18%E -0.758%K -0.995%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-09-21 04:19
Coolbet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.617%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -4.34%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-21 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.49%E -2.79%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-21 04:19
1xBet🎯	3.21I 31.15%NM 28.61%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.08%EV -8.37%E -4.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%	3.94I 25.38%NM 23.31%EV -9.18%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-09-21 04:19
Marathon Bet🎯	3.18I 31.45%NM 28.66%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -9.33%E -4.94%K -10.49%G +0.000%	3.94I 25.38%NM 23.13%EV -9.18%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-21 04:18

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
NordicBet🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%	5.2%	2026-09-21 04:19
Betsson🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%	5.2%	2026-09-21 04:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%	7.3%	2026-09-21 04:20
Smarkets◎	2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%	10.0%	2026-09-21 04:19