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Västerås IK v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås IK (Local)

Prediction 34.96%2.86fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%35.15%34.76%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.632.652.7038.76%38.05%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 41.79%2.39fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%41.67%42.13%42.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3347.62%45.45%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.25%4.30fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%23.18%23.12%23.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.204.2526.67%24.45%23.81%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Västerås IK (Local): 34.96%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 41.79%; Draw: 23.25%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.60%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.31%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 17:59
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:59
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -8.05%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -8.07%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -10.16%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.70%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -10.58%E -4.94%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 17:58
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.25%E -5.83%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.80%E -3.41%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-27 17:58
Coolbet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -9.80%E -3.80%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.79%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -1.18%E -0.277%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 17:58
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.31%EV -9.80%E -3.80%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -6.82%E -3.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.85%EV -11.18%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 17:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.31%EV -9.80%E -3.80%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -6.82%E -3.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.85%EV -11.18%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%5.3%2026-02-27 17:59
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%5.3%2026-02-27 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%7.2%2026-02-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%7.2%2026-02-27 17:59
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-02-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-02-27 17:59
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-02-27 17:59