Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås IK v Leksands IF

2026-11-13 18:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

25%

54%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås IK (Local)

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd

EV -5.61%

Edge -1.46%

Kelly -1.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.85%24.58%24.89%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.743.763.8427.78%26.74%26.60%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leksands IF (Visit)

Prediction 54.32%1.84fair odd

EV -7.66%

Edge -4.50%

Kelly -10.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.57%54.32%54.17%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.671.671.7060.61%59.70%59.70%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.10%4.74fair odd

EV -7.16%

Edge -1.63%

Kelly -2.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.93%21.10%20.94%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.204.334.354.4023.81%23.12%22.99%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Västerås IK (Local): 24.58%; Leksands IF (Visit): 54.32%; Draw: 21.10%. For Västerås IK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.84, with an expected value of -5.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.84I 26.04%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 54.98%EV -9.29%E -5.56%K -13.86%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-12 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯	3.82I 26.18%NM 23.85%EV -6.11%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21%EV -10.37%E -6.29%K -15.96%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-12 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.66%E -4.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-12 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-11-12 06:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%	8.2%	2026-11-12 06:10
Casumo🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%	9.6%	2026-11-12 06:10
Smarkets◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 35.52%	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.48%	10.0%	2026-11-12 06:10