The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Södertälje SK v Visby/Roma HK

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

Final: Södertälje SK 6–2 Visby/Roma HK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Södertälje SK (Local)

Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -6.44%
Edge -4.30%
Kelly -12.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.51%62.84%62.42%65.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5071.43%68.56%68.73%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Visby/Roma HK (Visit)

Prediction 18.62%5.37fair odd
EV +9.84%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.197%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.12%18.17%18.65%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.275.405.9021.05%18.96%18.52%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.01%5.26fair odd
EV +2.67%
Edge +0.495%
Kelly +0.607%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.66%19.00%18.92%19.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.125.255.4021.74%19.54%19.05%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Södertälje SK (Local): 62.37%; Visby/Roma HK (Visit): 18.62%; Draw: 19.01%. For Visby/Roma HK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.84%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.59%EV -9.56%E -6.60%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV +9.84%E +1.67%K +2.01%G +0.197%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -1.13%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.80%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +2.39%E +0.435%K +0.531%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV +2.67%E +0.495%K +0.607%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-20 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.80%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +2.39%E +0.435%K +0.531%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV +2.67%E +0.495%K +0.607%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-20 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.80%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +2.39%E +0.435%K +0.531%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV +2.67%E +0.495%K +0.607%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-20 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.80%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +2.39%E +0.435%K +0.531%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV +2.67%E +0.495%K +0.607%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-20 11:39
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -9.56%E -6.60%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV +0.529%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +0.771%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001%6.4%2026-09-20 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -10.19%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV +0.529%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV +0.771%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001%6.8%2026-09-20 11:39
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -10.19%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV +0.529%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV +0.771%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001%6.8%2026-09-20 11:39
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.78%EV -12.68%E -9.06%K -31.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -3.19%E -0.614%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -3.03%E -0.594%K -0.739%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:39
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.89%EV -8.94%E -6.12%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.18%EV -5.99%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.93%EV -7.78%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.02%EV -6.44%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.56%E -6.60%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -7.85%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.78%EV -7.78%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 10:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -12.54%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 11:44
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.25%EV -10.19%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%5.3%2026-09-20 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%5.3%2026-09-20 11:29
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%8.3%2026-09-20 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-19 20:54
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-19 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-19 20:55
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-19 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%8.6%2026-09-20 10:54