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Södertälje SK v Östersunds IK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Södertälje SK (Local)
assuming max odds 1.81
Östersunds IK (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.50
Draw
assuming max odds 4.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Södertälje SK (Local): 52.93%; Östersunds IK (Visit): 25.56%; Draw: 21.51%. For Östersunds IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.03%.
8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -12.66%E -7.67%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV +15.03%E +3.34%K +4.29%G +0.645% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -2.15%E -0.472%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.966%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.966%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.966%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.966%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.48%E -5.55%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.48%E -5.55%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.54%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.36%EV -11.05%E -3.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.75%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -10.75%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 07:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 07:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00% | 100.0% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |