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Södertälje SK v Kalmar HC

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Södertälje SK (Local)

Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.34%37.44%37.04%38.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.552.5541.67%39.68%39.22%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar HC (Visit)

Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.737%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.34%39.44%39.95%40.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.322.5544.44%43.10%43.10%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.50%23.11%23.00%23.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.903.994.004.1025.64%25.07%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Södertälje SK (Local): 37.04%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 39.95%; Draw: 23.00%. For Kalmar HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.88%.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV +1.88%E +0.737%K +1.21%G +0.023%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.29%EV -6.91%E -2.97%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 09:20
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -7.31%E -3.15%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.60%EV -7.76%E -3.12%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.15%EV -9.31%E -4.10%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.25%EV -9.83%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 17:44
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.60%EV -7.76%E -3.12%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.15%EV -9.31%E -4.10%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.25%EV -9.83%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.34%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-19 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%5.9%2026-03-19 15:59
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%5.9%2026-03-19 15:59
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%7.1%2026-03-19 17:14
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-03-18 09:44
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-03-18 09:44