Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Södertälje SK v IK Oskarshamn

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Södertälje SK (Local)

Prediction 60.10%1.66fair odd
EV -8.04%
Edge -5.25%
Kelly -15.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%60.55%60.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.56%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 19.95%5.01fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.423%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%19.62%19.95%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.905.005.1022.22%20.41%20.00%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.95%5.01fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.423%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.75%19.82%19.95%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.865.005.1022.22%20.57%20.00%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Södertälje SK (Local): 60.10%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 19.95%; Draw: 19.95%. For IK Oskarshamn (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.73%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-25 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-25 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-25 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV +1.73%E +0.340%K +0.423%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-25 11:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 11:50
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -11.05%E -7.46%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -0.262%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.25%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -11.65%E -7.92%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -2.26%E -0.461%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -6.25%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-25 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.45%E -9.34%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -4.25%E -0.886%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -4.25%E -0.886%K -1.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.64%E -5.68%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.24%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.24%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-25 12:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%5.1%2026-09-25 13:04
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%5.1%2026-09-25 13:04