Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 5.20
assuming max odds 5.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Södertälje SK (Local): 59.41%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 20.49%; Draw: 20.10%. For IK Oskarshamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.56%.
8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV +6.56%E +1.26%K +1.56%G +0.103% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.60%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -10.29%E -6.81%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV +4.51%E +0.885%K +1.10%G +0.050% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -10.29%E -6.81%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV +4.51%E +0.885%K +1.10%G +0.050% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -10.29%E -6.81%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV +4.51%E +0.885%K +1.10%G +0.050% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 07:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.25%EV -10.29%E -6.81%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV +4.51%E +0.885%K +1.10%G +0.050% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV +6.51%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.099% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.22%EV -11.48%E -7.70%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV +2.46%E +0.493%K +0.616%G +0.015% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +5.51%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.22%EV -11.48%E -7.70%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV +2.46%E +0.493%K +0.616%G +0.015% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +5.51%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.22%EV -11.48%E -7.70%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV +2.46%E +0.493%K +0.616%G +0.015% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +5.51%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.36%EV -15.04%E -10.52%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -1.63%E -0.341%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015% | 10.4% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.29%E -6.81%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -5.73%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -7.55%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.01%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.55%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 12:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -6.73%E -4.28%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.55%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 09:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.54%EV -8.51%E -5.52%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -11.88%E -2.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -11.57%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-26 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.35%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.56%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-26 09:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 12:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 12:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |