The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Södertälje SK v IF Björklöven

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Södertälje SK (Local)

Prediction 31.72%3.15fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.034%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.98%31.63%31.67%32.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.783.013.103.1535.97%33.19%32.26%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Björklöven (Visit)

Prediction 45.51%2.20fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.70%45.58%45.55%47.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.981.952.1052.08%50.45%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%22.79%22.79%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.124.204.3025.77%24.27%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Södertälje SK (Local): 31.72%; IF Björklöven (Visit): 45.51%; Draw: 22.77%. For Södertälje SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.152. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.150, with an expected value of -0.072%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -0.072%E -0.023%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -2.08%E -0.484%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 17:20
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.81%E -5.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 17:45
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -11.26%E -5.78%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 17:45
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -1.66%E -0.535%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.90%EV -11.72%E -6.04%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 17:45
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -12.63%E -6.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.71%E -3.28%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:35
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.54%EV -9.90%E -5.00%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -10.05%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 17:39
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.65%EV -10.86%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -4.44%E -2.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.65%EV -11.65%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.75%EV -11.81%E -4.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.35%E -2.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-02-25 17:39
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-02-25 17:39
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%6.4%2026-02-25 17:44
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%7.1%2026-02-25 17:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-02-25 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-02-25 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-02-25 17:14
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-02-25 17:14
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%8.0%2026-02-25 17:35