The School of Odds
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Östersunds IK v Nybro Vikings IF

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Final: Östersunds IK 2–3 Nybro Vikings IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds IK (Local)

Prediction 39.48%2.53fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.02%39.47%39.53%39.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.382.402.4843.67%41.94%41.75%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nybro Vikings IF (Visit)

Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.63%37.97%37.92%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.472.482.5542.37%40.52%40.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.56%4.43fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.36%22.56%22.55%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.104.104.2525.32%24.39%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds IK (Local): 39.48%; Nybro Vikings IF (Visit): 37.96%; Draw: 22.56%. For Östersunds IK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -2.10%E -0.846%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -2.10%E -0.846%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -2.10%E -0.846%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -2.10%E -0.846%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:29
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.77%EV -5.65%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.72%E -1.88%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -4.11%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -8.02%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.88%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.13%E -3.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 10:50
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.13%E -3.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 10:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 10:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.33%EV -9.60%E -4.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.16%EV -10.41%E -4.41%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-09-20 13:19
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-09-20 13:09
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%6.7%2026-09-20 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-09-20 10:54