Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.00
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 5.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds IK (Local): 19.60%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 61.41%; Draw: 19.00%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.38%.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.02%E -0.404%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -11.57%E -8.04%K -26.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +6.38%E +1.14%K +1.39%G +0.088% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.04%EV -14.03%E -10.02%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -0.269%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.18%EV -6.14%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.26%EV -7.89%E -5.26%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -10.72%E -2.28%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.50%E -5.71%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.72%E -2.28%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -13.78%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -0.519%E -0.320%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -15.47%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -13.78%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -6.05%E -3.95%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.42%E -3.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -2.98%E -1.88%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.29%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -19.27%E -4.53%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -3.11%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -22.11%E -5.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 17:58 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.08% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |