The School of Odds
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Nybro Vikings IF v Vimmerby HC

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Nybro Vikings IF 7–6 Vimmerby HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 53.31%1.88fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.53%53.72%53.01%55.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.771.8259.17%56.80%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vimmerby HC (Visit)

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.408%
Kelly +0.544%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.79%25.17%25.74%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.76%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV +0.029%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.24%21.11%21.25%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.284.254.7024.39%23.35%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 53.31%; Vimmerby HC (Visit): 25.41%; Draw: 21.28%. For Vimmerby HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +1.63%E +0.408%K +0.544%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.029%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -2.18%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -8.48%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -2.18%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -8.48%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -2.18%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -8.48%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.74%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -2.18%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -8.48%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:34
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -10.61%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -10.61%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 21:34
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -10.61%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 21:34
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.70%EV -8.84%E -5.17%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.69%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.93%EV -9.91%E -5.86%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.36%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 17:05
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.88%EV -8.84%E -5.17%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.28%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 10:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -8.84%E -5.17%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.61%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-09-18 12:35
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-09-15 19:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-09-15 19:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-09-15 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-09-17 15:05
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.16%8.0%2026-09-18 05:05