The School of Odds
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Nybro Vikings IF v Södertälje SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Nybro Vikings IF 3–1 Södertälje SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV +6.16%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.50%26.96%27.39%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.673.803.9030.77%27.23%26.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Södertälje SK (Visit)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -6.58%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.46%51.31%50.89%54.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.75%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -0.032%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.86%21.73%21.72%21.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.404.424.6024.39%22.71%22.60%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 27.22%; Södertälje SK (Visit): 51.05%; Draw: 21.73%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.16%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV +6.16%E +1.58%K +2.12%G +0.131%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -10.16%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV +6.16%E +1.58%K +2.12%G +0.131%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -10.16%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV +6.16%E +1.58%K +2.12%G +0.131%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -10.16%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV +6.16%E +1.58%K +2.12%G +0.131%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -10.16%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 07:21
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV +4.80%E +1.25%K +1.68%G +0.081%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -11.69%E -6.76%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 07:20
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV +4.80%E +1.25%K +1.68%G +0.081%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -11.69%E -6.76%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV +4.80%E +1.25%K +1.68%G +0.081%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -11.69%E -6.76%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 07:20
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV +2.08%E +0.553%K +0.755%G +0.016%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.80%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 21:50
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV +0.715%E +0.193%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.49%EV -14.75%E -8.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 07:20
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.73%EV -6.36%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.37%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 26.69%EV -6.91%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.57%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 15:30
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.46%EV -9.14%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-10-23 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-10-23 15:45
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-23 15:50
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%8.0%2026-10-23 15:30
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-23 15:40
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-23 15:40