The School of Odds
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Nybro Vikings IF v IK Oskarshamn

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Nybro Vikings IF 2–3 IK Oskarshamn

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%36.16%35.00%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.412.602.652.7041.49%38.42%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 41.53%2.41fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.53%41.23%42.54%42.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.292.4747.62%44.12%43.76%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.63%4.42fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.17%22.61%22.47%23.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.104.104.2025.32%24.41%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 35.84%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 41.53%; Draw: 22.63%. For IK Oskarshamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -11.47%E -4.65%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV +2.59%E +1.05%K +1.76%G +0.046%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -6.10%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.64%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.64%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.64%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.64%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.82%EV -13.63%E -5.65%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.28%EV -3.64%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.90%EV -9.95%E -2.50%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 13:04
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.82%EV -13.63%E -5.65%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.28%EV -3.64%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.90%EV -9.95%E -2.50%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 13:10
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 15:55
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 15:54
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -9.46%E -4.34%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.70%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.75%EV -12.37%E -5.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-14 14:34
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -12.78%E -6.09%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-14 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-10-14 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-10-14 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%7.0%2026-10-14 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-10-14 02:15
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-10-14 02:14
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-10-14 02:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-10-14 02:14
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%8.5%2026-10-14 14:30