The School of Odds
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Nybro Vikings IF v IF Troja-Ljungby

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 60.25%1.66fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -8.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.25%60.25%60.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.571.5866.67%64.34%63.69%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Troja-Ljungby (Visit)

Prediction 19.68%5.08fair odd
EV +0.344%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.67%19.57%19.68%20.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.834.905.1022.22%20.70%20.41%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.08%4.98fair odd
EV -7.64%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.82%20.18%20.08%22.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.364.254.6024.39%22.95%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 60.25%; IF Troja-Ljungby (Visit): 19.68%; Draw: 20.08%. For IF Troja-Ljungby (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.344%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.64%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV +0.344%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 15:19
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.41%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:44
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.85%EV -9.03%E -5.98%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 14:44
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -17.68%E -4.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.78%EV -9.63%E -6.42%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.53%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.02%E -3.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.49%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 14:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.63%E -6.42%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.64%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%5.0%2026-03-01 14:44
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%5.0%2026-03-01 14:44
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%6.4%2026-03-01 14:58
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%8.1%2026-03-01 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 17:25
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%8.5%2026-03-01 14:44