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Nybro Vikings IF v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 34.36%2.91fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%34.36%34.12%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8038.46%36.80%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 42.80%2.34fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.24%42.80%42.99%43.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.142.142.2048.08%46.83%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%22.83%22.89%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.084.104.1526.67%24.53%24.39%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 34.36%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 42.80%; Draw: 22.83%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -3.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -5.24%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:00
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.97%E -5.28%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 17:40
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -5.24%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.05%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -9.26%E -4.37%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -5.24%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 14:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -14.37%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-19 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-03-19 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-03-19 09:59
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%6.6%2026-03-20 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%7.0%2026-03-18 22:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-19 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-19 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-19 08:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-19 08:19