The School of Odds
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Nybro Vikings IF v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Nybro Vikings IF 0–1 BIK Karlskoga

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -0.828%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.51%34.48%34.62%34.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.802.8538.46%36.36%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 42.91%2.33fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.81%42.92%42.87%43.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.182.2347.62%46.05%45.87%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd
EV -6.48%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%22.60%22.51%23.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.054.054.1525.64%24.71%24.69%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 34.55%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 42.91%; Draw: 22.54%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -1.53%E -0.537%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -4.30%E -1.93%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -1.53%E -0.537%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -4.30%E -1.93%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -1.53%E -0.537%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -4.30%E -1.93%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.63%EV -1.53%E -0.537%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.99%EV -4.30%E -1.93%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.85%EV -4.30%E -1.93%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 16:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -2.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.86%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -2.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.86%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -2.96%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.86%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.94%EV -9.02%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.11%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-23 16:35
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.16%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.15%EV -8.59%E -4.03%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.73%E -2.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-23 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.28%EV -8.10%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.21%EV -9.45%E -4.48%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -8.73%E -2.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-23 16:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -8.44%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%EV -7.73%E -3.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 21:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.88%E -4.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.86%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 21:20
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.88%E -4.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.86%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%5.3%2026-09-23 16:50
Betsson🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%5.3%2026-09-23 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%7.2%2026-09-22 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-21 14:29
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-21 14:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-09-21 14:35
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-09-23 05:05