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Nybro Vikings IF v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.23%30.24%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.153.2035.09%32.09%31.75%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%46.94%47.00%48.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.941.942.0252.91%51.41%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.76%4.39fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%22.83%22.76%23.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.134.204.2025.64%24.22%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 30.24%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 47.00%; Draw: 22.76%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -3.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:59
1xBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 28.88%EV -3.84%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -9.29%E -4.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.23%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 19:04
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -10.23%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.23%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 18:59
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.90%EV -8.82%E -4.55%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -11.17%E -5.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.85%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 08:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%6.0%2026-03-22 12:00
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%6.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%7.6%2026-03-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-21 08:54
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-21 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-21 23:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-21 23:29
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%8.4%2026-03-22 02:25