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Nybro Vikings IF v Almtuna IS

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 44.83%2.23fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.77%44.82%44.85%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.122.1550.00%47.91%47.17%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almtuna IS (Visit)

Prediction 32.48%3.08fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.95%32.44%32.39%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.872.902.9536.36%34.83%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.69%4.41fair odd
EV -6.96%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.23%22.74%22.75%24.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.953.904.1026.67%25.32%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 44.83%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 32.48%; Draw: 22.69%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -3.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.25%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -4.18%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49%EV -8.10%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:30
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.45%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.43%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.91%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 17:10
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -9.45%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12%EV -7.10%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 04:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.52%EV -9.45%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-02 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.35%E -5.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.20%EV -8.08%E -2.85%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 04:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.35%E -5.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-03 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%5.3%2026-03-03 12:45
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%5.3%2026-03-03 12:45
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%6.8%2026-03-02 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%7.1%2026-03-02 15:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:30
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%8.6%2026-03-04 06:30