The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nybro Vikings IF v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:01 UTC

Final: Nybro Vikings IF 3–5 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nybro Vikings IF (Local)

Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV -0.526%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%24.42%24.51%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.873.904.0627.40%25.83%25.64%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 54.55%1.83fair odd
EV -0.175%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.211%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.03%54.53%54.53%56.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.751.8362.50%57.88%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.95%4.77fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.49%21.05%20.97%22.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.344.354.5024.39%23.05%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nybro Vikings IF (Local): 24.50%; AIK (Visit): 54.55%; Draw: 20.95%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.833. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.830, with an expected value of -0.175%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 22.63%EV -0.526%E -0.129%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.72%EV -11.63%E -7.18%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.65%EV -6.77%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-02 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -0.771%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -12.72%E -7.95%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.49%EV -6.77%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-02 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -8.87%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -8.87%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -8.87%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -8.87%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 16:50
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 16:50
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 16:25
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 17:00
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -7.27%E -4.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 16:50
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -0.175%E -0.096%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -8.87%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.32%EV -9.45%E -5.69%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-02 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-10-02 16:24
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-01 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-01 07:15
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%8.2%2026-10-02 16:25
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%8.5%2026-10-02 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%100.0%2026-10-02 17:00