The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Mora IK v Västerås IK

2026-11-15 15:30 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mora IK (Local)

Prediction 43.72%2.29fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.619%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.36%43.23%43.72%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.282.3248.78%45.11%43.86%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås IK (Visit)

Prediction 33.29%3.00fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.43%33.67%33.29%35.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8338.46%36.76%36.36%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.94%23.10%22.99%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.853.994.004.1525.97%25.04%25.00%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mora IK (Local): 43.72%; Västerås IK (Visit): 33.29%; Draw: 22.99%. For Mora IK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.32, producing a positive expected value of +1.44%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV +1.44%E +0.619%K +1.09%G +0.016%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-13 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV +1.44%E +0.619%K +1.09%G +0.016%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-13 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV +1.44%E +0.619%K +1.09%G +0.016%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-13 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV +1.44%E +0.619%K +1.09%G +0.016%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-13 22:44
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV +0.562%E +0.244%K +0.432%G +0.002%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -10.78%E -4.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.61%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-13 23:15
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -0.313%E -0.137%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -0.313%E -0.137%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.51%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-13 22:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.51%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-13 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 22:44
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.91%EV -8.62%E -4.12%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.43%EV -5.78%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.65%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.00%EV -9.49%E -4.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.47%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-13 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-13 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-11-13 22:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-11-13 22:44
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-11-13 22:45

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.