The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Mora IK v Nybro Vikings IF

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mora IK (Local)

Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.916%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.53%43.64%42.68%46.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.132.152.2751.28%46.86%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nybro Vikings IF (Visit)

Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.79%34.31%34.97%35.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.642.632.8039.22%37.90%38.02%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.11%4.52fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.471%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%22.04%22.35%23.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.284.404.6025.97%23.38%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mora IK (Local): 43.54%; Nybro Vikings IF (Visit): 34.35%; Draw: 22.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.16%EV -11.61%E -5.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +1.70%E +0.369%K +0.471%G +0.008%6.7%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -9.65%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -1.16%E -0.512%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:00
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.24%EV -15.10%E -7.74%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -9.44%E -4.54%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-06 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -7.26%E -3.41%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 18:00
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.53%EV -3.78%E -1.71%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.59%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.76%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-03-06 17:58
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%6.4%2026-03-06 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%6.4%2026-03-06 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%6.7%2026-03-06 17:59
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-03-06 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-06 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-06 18:00
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-06 17:59
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-06 17:59