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Mora IK v Leksands IF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mora IK (Local)
assuming max odds 3.40
Leksands IF (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.92
Draw
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mora IK (Local): 29.05%; Leksands IF (Visit): 48.86%; Draw: 22.09%. For Mora IK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -2.79%E -0.635%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -2.79%E -0.635%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -2.79%E -0.635%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -2.79%E -0.635%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.24%E -0.365%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -6.11%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.00%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.00%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.00%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.13%EV -5.02%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.61%E -5.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -8.32%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.17%EV -11.07%E -6.08%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -8.32%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.11%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.12%E -4.90%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -8.63%E -4.62%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |