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Mora IK v Almtuna IS

2026-10-30 18:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mora IK (Local)

Prediction 51.74%1.93fair odd
EV -5.32%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.81%51.75%51.74%52.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.791.8358.48%56.01%55.87%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almtuna IS (Visit)

Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.39%26.41%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.7030.30%27.94%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.61%21.86%21.85%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.274.304.4024.39%23.40%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mora IK (Local): 51.74%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 26.41%; Draw: 21.85%. For Almtuna IS (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -2.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.32%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.28%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.87%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.32%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.28%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.87%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.32%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.28%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.87%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.32%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.28%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.87%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -2.28%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-28 22:25
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.38%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.38%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 22:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-28 22:30
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.77%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.50%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-28 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-28 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%5.1%2026-10-28 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%5.1%2026-10-28 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.66%7.4%2026-10-28 22:25