The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Modo Hockey v Södertälje SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Modo Hockey 1–4 Södertälje SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 46.08%2.17fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.625%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%46.08%46.42%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.092.122.2053.19%47.90%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Södertälje SK (Visit)

Prediction 31.47%3.18fair odd
EV -0.865%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.402%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%31.47%31.16%34.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.953.1535.71%34.03%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%22.45%22.42%23.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.134.104.2025.32%24.22%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modo Hockey (Local): 46.08%; Södertälje SK (Visit): 31.47%; Draw: 22.45%. For Modo Hockey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.38%E +0.625%K +1.15%G +0.016%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -7.16%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -7.16%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 12:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -7.16%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 12:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -0.007%E -0.003%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -7.16%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 12:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.38%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.38%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.38%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 11:54
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.33%E -2.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -8.76%E -4.43%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.16%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-05 11:45
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -0.865%E -0.275%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -13.37%E -7.11%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.24%EV -1.81%E -0.580%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-10-05 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-10-05 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%7.4%2026-10-04 20:40