Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey v Leksands IF

2026-09-25 18:30 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.866%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.94%38.43%37.93%40.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.502.552.6042.19%40.00%39.22%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leksands IF (Visit)

Prediction 39.07%2.56fair odd
EV +0.416%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.09%38.62%39.07%40.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.372.352.5743.86%42.22%42.55%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.69%22.95%23.00%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.084.104.2025.64%24.51%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Modo Hockey (Local): 37.93%; Leksands IF (Visit): 39.07%; Draw: 23.00%. For Leksands IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.57, producing a positive expected value of +0.416%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -10.11%E -4.27%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.09%EV +0.416%E +0.162%K +0.265%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -3.40%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -1.39%E -0.533%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -3.40%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -1.39%E -0.533%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -3.40%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -1.39%E -0.533%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -3.40%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -1.39%E -0.533%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -3.40%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 22:20
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 22:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-23 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.21%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.35%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.11%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-23 22:29
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.21%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.35%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.11%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-23 22:33
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 37.71%EV -9.35%E -3.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-23 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.11%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -10.92%E -4.79%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-23 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%5.3%2026-09-23 22:25
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%5.3%2026-09-23 22:24
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%10.2%2026-09-23 22:30