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Modo Hockey v IK Oskarshamn

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.36%42.21%42.27%42.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.252.2547.62%45.22%44.44%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV -6.59%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.76%34.56%34.46%36.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.552.7240.00%38.65%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%23.23%23.27%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.084.204.2026.67%24.52%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modo Hockey (Local): 42.26%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 34.34%; Draw: 23.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.74%E -0.415%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.42%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -4.08%E -0.996%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 17:10
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.32%EV -8.29%E -3.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.76%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.92%EV -10.17%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.39%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 33.88%EV -7.62%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.73%EV -10.17%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.26%EV -10.40%E -4.91%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.46%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -9.93%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-03 06:54
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.25%E -5.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-03 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%5.3%2026-03-04 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%5.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-03-03 14:43
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%7.1%2026-03-02 06:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-03 10:30
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-03-04 17:10