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Modo Hockey v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC

Final: Modo Hockey 4–2 BIK Karlskoga

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.35%55.35%55.54%58.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.691.711.7564.10%59.28%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV +4.39%
Edge +0.986%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.65%23.44%23.46%23.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.984.004.4526.67%25.10%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.00%4.76fair odd
EV -5.51%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.43%21.20%21.00%21.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.434.504.5023.53%22.57%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modo Hockey (Local): 55.54%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 23.46%; Draw: 21.00%. For BIK Karlskoga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.39%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -13.35%E -8.56%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.65%EV +4.39%E +0.986%K +1.27%G +0.056%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 14:24
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.02%E -6.18%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 14:29
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 14:09
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.30%EV -10.57%E -6.57%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.74%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.95%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%5.3%2026-10-11 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%5.3%2026-10-11 14:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-10-11 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-10-11 13:10
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-10-11 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-10-11 13:09
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%8.4%2026-10-11 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%8.6%2026-10-11 14:20