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Modo Hockey v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.17%47.27%47.28%47.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.982.022.0552.63%50.51%49.50%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 30.26%3.31fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%30.25%30.26%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.002.953.1534.72%33.38%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.08%22.48%22.46%23.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.144.204.2525.13%24.18%23.81%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modo Hockey (Local): 47.29%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 30.26%; Draw: 22.46%. For Modo Hockey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -3.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 12:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:19
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -7.32%E -3.73%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 11:19
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -4.70%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.06%EV -10.61%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 12:14
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.06%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -5.60%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -10.61%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%5.4%2026-03-01 12:14
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%5.4%2026-03-01 12:14
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%6.6%2026-03-01 12:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%7.4%2026-03-01 12:19
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%7.5%2026-03-01 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-01 12:00