The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Modo Hockey v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 41.00%2.44fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.87%41.26%41.00%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.172.142.4048.54%46.02%46.73%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 34.78%2.87fair odd
EV -0.868%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.95%34.51%34.78%36.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.8540.00%36.75%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.21%4.13fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.402%
Kelly +0.528%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.27%24.23%24.21%24.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.044.154.2027.40%24.75%24.10%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modo Hockey (Local): 41.00%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 34.78%; Draw: 24.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.69%E +0.402%K +0.528%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-07 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -12.25%E -5.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.731%E -0.178%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%EV -8.56%E -3.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -0.868%E -0.304%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.15%E -0.788%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 16:59
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -14.71%E -7.07%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.09%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -3.15%E -0.788%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.21%EV -15.53%E -7.54%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -0.868%E -0.304%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.84%EV -7.51%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -1.59%E -0.662%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 17:00
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.18%EV -8.56%E -3.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-07 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%6.1%2026-04-07 17:00
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%6.1%2026-04-07 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%7.0%2026-04-07 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-04-07 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-04-07 16:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-04-07 16:59
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-04-07 16:59
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-04-07 16:59