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Modo Hockey v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Modo Hockey (Local)

Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.50%44.71%44.30%46.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.122.1248.78%47.57%47.17%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 32.83%3.05fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%32.35%32.83%33.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.842.853.1536.63%35.18%35.09%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%22.94%22.87%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.004.004.1025.64%25.00%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modo Hockey (Local): 44.30%; AIK (Visit): 32.83%; Draw: 22.87%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.49%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV +3.41%E +1.08%K +1.59%G +0.054%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 09:45
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:29
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:29
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 12:30
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.50%EV -6.54%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.26%EV -9.39%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.64%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 16:44
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 09:44
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -8.31%E -4.01%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.96%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.58%EV -7.42%E -3.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.36%EV -10.38%E -3.80%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.64%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%5.8%2026-03-18 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%6.1%2026-03-18 16:44
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%6.6%2026-03-18 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-17 15:45
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-17 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-17 15:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-03-17 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%7.4%2026-03-18 16:50