Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leksands IF v Vimmerby HC

2026-10-14 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leksands IF (Local)

Prediction 70.53%1.42fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -13.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.78%70.53%70.61%74.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3581.30%77.72%77.52%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vimmerby HC (Visit)

Prediction 13.30%7.52fair odd
EV +6.39%
Edge +0.799%
Kelly +0.913%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.79%13.30%13.24%13.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.618.008.0014.81%13.14%12.50%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.18%6.18fair odd
EV +9.19%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.147%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.97%16.18%16.16%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.416.756.7518.52%15.59%14.81%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leksands IF (Local): 70.53%; Vimmerby HC (Visit): 13.30%; Draw: 16.18%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.18. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.75, producing a positive expected value of +9.19%.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%4.8%2026-10-11 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%4.8%2026-10-11 21:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%4.8%2026-10-11 21:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%4.8%2026-10-11 21:19
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.24%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%6.1%2026-10-11 21:19
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.24%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%6.1%2026-10-11 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.24%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +6.39%E +0.799%K +0.913%G +0.058%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV +9.19%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%6.1%2026-10-11 21:19
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -13.25%E -10.78%K -57.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -0.258%E -0.034%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +5.14%E +0.791%K +0.935%G +0.048%10.0%2026-10-11 21:19
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.20%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.37%EV -8.64%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.44%EV -3.75%E -0.631%K -0.758%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.19%EV -9.73%E -7.60%K -34.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -10.23%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.31%EV -3.75%E -0.631%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 21:19
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.61%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.24%EV -4.25%E -0.590%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -4.56%E -0.773%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.78%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.91%E -0.987%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -12.65%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%5.0%2026-10-11 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%5.0%2026-10-11 21:19
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.31%4.02I 24.88%NM 22.69%9.6%2026-10-11 21:19
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%10.6%2026-10-11 21:19