The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Leksands IF v Västerås IK

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC

Final: Leksands IF 3–7 Västerås IK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leksands IF (Local)

Prediction 65.01%1.54fair odd
EV -7.04%
Edge -4.92%
Kelly -16.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.32%65.34%65.01%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.421.4374.07%71.04%70.42%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås IK (Visit)

Prediction 16.64%6.01fair odd
EV +8.14%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.65%16.34%16.64%17.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.936.106.5019.23%16.85%16.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.36%5.45fair odd
EV +2.80%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.608%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.86%18.32%18.36%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.345.505.6021.28%18.73%18.18%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leksands IF (Local): 65.01%; Västerås IK (Visit): 16.64%; Draw: 18.36%. For Västerås IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.01. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.14%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -8.99%E -6.42%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +8.14%E +1.25%K +1.48%G +0.121%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV +0.961%E +0.175%K +0.213%G +0.002%5.0%2026-09-30 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.53%EV -7.69%E -5.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.34%EV +3.98%E +0.637%K +0.759%G +0.030%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +2.80%E +0.499%K +0.608%G +0.017%4.3%2026-09-30 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.53%EV -7.69%E -5.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.34%EV +3.98%E +0.637%K +0.759%G +0.030%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +2.80%E +0.499%K +0.608%G +0.017%4.3%2026-09-30 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.53%EV -7.69%E -5.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.34%EV +3.98%E +0.637%K +0.759%G +0.030%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +2.80%E +0.499%K +0.608%G +0.017%4.3%2026-09-30 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.53%EV -7.69%E -5.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.34%EV +3.98%E +0.637%K +0.759%G +0.030%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +2.80%E +0.499%K +0.608%G +0.017%4.3%2026-09-30 16:25
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -8.99%E -6.42%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV +1.49%E +0.244%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +0.961%E +0.175%K +0.213%G +0.002%6.0%2026-09-30 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -8.99%E -6.42%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV +1.49%E +0.244%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +0.961%E +0.175%K +0.213%G +0.002%6.0%2026-09-30 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -8.99%E -6.42%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV +1.49%E +0.244%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +0.961%E +0.175%K +0.213%G +0.002%6.0%2026-09-30 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.44%EV -12.24%E -9.07%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -0.875%E -0.162%K -0.199%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 16:25
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.80%EV -9.64%E -6.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-30 16:59
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV -10.99%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -9.14%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-30 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -7.69%E -5.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.42%EV -9.14%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.32%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -13.49%E -2.59%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-30 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%5.1%2026-09-30 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%5.1%2026-09-30 16:15
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%8.4%2026-09-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-09-30 16:15
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-09-30 16:15
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-09-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-09-30 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.55%8.7%2026-09-30 16:20