The School of Odds
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Leksands IF v IK Oskarshamn

2026-09-23 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leksands IF (Local)

Prediction 53.21%1.88fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.53%53.21%53.28%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.8161.73%58.65%58.48%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 24.88%4.02fair odd
EV +5.76%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%24.88%24.76%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.684.044.204.2527.17%24.75%23.81%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%21.91%21.96%22.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.304.304.4024.10%23.28%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leksands IF (Local): 53.21%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 24.88%; Draw: 21.91%. For IK Oskarshamn (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +5.76%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +5.76%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.102%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +5.76%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.102%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +5.76%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.102%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 08:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +5.76%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.102%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 08:24
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -10.61%E -6.31%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +4.51%E +1.07%K +1.41%G +0.064%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 08:24
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -10.61%E -6.31%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +4.51%E +1.07%K +1.41%G +0.064%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 08:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -10.61%E -6.31%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +4.51%E +1.07%K +1.41%G +0.064%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -13.80%E -8.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -0.462%E -0.116%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.68%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 07:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.68%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -6.90%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 08:25
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -7.95%E -4.59%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.76%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.09%E -2.19%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.76%EV -8.43%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -9.09%E -2.19%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 08:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-09-21 08:25
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%10.3%2026-09-21 08:25