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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 5.10
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leksands IF (Local): 60.27%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 19.82%; Draw: 19.91%. For BIK Karlskoga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.76%EV -2.97%E -1.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +1.08%E +0.213%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.76%EV -2.97%E -1.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +1.08%E +0.213%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.76%EV -2.97%E -1.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +1.08%E +0.213%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.76%EV -2.97%E -1.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +1.08%E +0.213%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.97%EV -5.98%E -3.83%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -1.89%E -0.381%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-28 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.47%EV -4.78%E -3.02%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -2.88%E -0.588%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -12.39%E -2.82%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -2.88%E -0.588%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -12.39%E -2.82%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.57%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -15.38%E -3.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.28%EV -7.19%E -4.67%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-28 11:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.60%E -6.40%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -16.37%E -3.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -9.00%E -5.96%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 19.84%EV -8.23%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.60%E -6.40%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -9.82%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-28 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.60%E -6.40%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-28 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.60%E -6.40%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-28 11:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02% | 5.1% | 2026-10-28 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02% | 5.1% | 2026-10-28 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 19:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 19:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35% | 7.5% | 2026-10-26 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35% | 7.5% | 2026-10-26 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86% | 8.0% | 2026-10-28 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02% | 8.2% | 2026-10-28 17:30 |