The School of Odds
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Kalmar HC v Södertälje SK

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar HC (Local)

Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.94%52.86%52.78%53.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.771.8359.17%56.96%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Södertälje SK (Visit)

Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.12%25.20%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.693.703.7628.57%27.13%27.03%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.02%4.54fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.02%22.02%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.214.254.3025.00%23.73%23.53%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar HC (Local): 52.78%; Södertälje SK (Visit): 25.20%; Draw: 22.02%. For Kalmar HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -3.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.94%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 16:30
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:14
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.01%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 21:15
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.43%EV -5.24%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 16:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.93%EV -10.80%E -6.39%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.37%EV -5.74%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%6.2%2026-03-17 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%6.2%2026-03-17 17:40
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 65.04%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.96%7.5%2026-03-17 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-03-17 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%8.5%2026-03-16 14:05
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%8.5%2026-03-16 14:04