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Kalmar HC v Södertälje SK

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar HC (Local)

Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.71%46.79%48.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.931.922.1053.19%51.72%52.08%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Södertälje SK (Visit)

Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.01%30.80%30.86%31.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.133.203.2035.09%31.98%31.25%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV -6.11%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%22.49%22.35%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.154.204.2025.00%24.12%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar HC (Local): 46.79%; Södertälje SK (Visit): 30.86%; Draw: 22.35%. For Södertälje SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -1.75%E -0.834%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -7.23%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 18:05
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.64%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 17:55
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.65%EV -4.95%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 17:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.56%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-26 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%6.2%2026-03-27 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%6.2%2026-03-27 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%7.1%2026-03-27 17:40
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%7.5%2026-03-27 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-03-26 10:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-03-26 10:35