The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kalmar HC v Nybro Vikings IF

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar HC 5–1 Nybro Vikings IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar HC (Local)

Prediction 61.93%1.61fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.29%62.14%62.07%64.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.511.531.5870.92%66.32%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nybro Vikings IF (Visit)

Prediction 18.50%5.40fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.16%18.46%18.37%19.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.095.105.3520.83%19.66%19.61%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.57%5.11fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.295%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.04%19.40%19.56%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.744.725.0522.22%21.12%21.16%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar HC (Local): 61.93%; Nybro Vikings IF (Visit): 18.50%; Draw: 19.57%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.35, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.29%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -8.04%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.06%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.06%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.06%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -3.79%E -0.728%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.06%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 15:45
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -5.24%E -3.43%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -8.04%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -5.24%E -3.43%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -8.04%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -5.24%E -3.43%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -8.04%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.10%E -4.73%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.19%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.09%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.34%E -5.64%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -11.96%E -2.66%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-25 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.07%EV -10.20%E -7.03%K -22.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -9.34%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.00%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 16:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.82%E -7.51%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.96%E -2.66%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-25 16:25
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.66%EV -12.06%E -8.49%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.16%EV -1.01%E -0.189%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.18%EV -1.19%E -0.237%K -0.295%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-25 15:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.61%EV -12.68%E -8.99%K -30.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -2.86%E -0.545%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.04%EV -1.19%E -0.237%K -0.295%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-25 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%5.3%2026-09-25 16:19
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%5.3%2026-09-25 16:15
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-25 16:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-25 16:01
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-25 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-09-25 16:00
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%8.6%2026-09-25 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.17%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.83%8.7%2026-09-25 15:50