The School of Odds
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Kalmar HC v IK Oskarshamn

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar HC (Local)

Prediction 59.93%1.67fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.15%59.87%60.07%60.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.601.6066.67%63.64%62.50%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 19.77%5.06fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%19.78%19.64%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.704.754.8522.22%21.29%21.05%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV -6.64%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%20.35%20.28%22.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.354.254.6024.39%22.99%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar HC (Local): 59.93%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 19.77%; Draw: 20.30%. For Kalmar HC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -4.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -7.65%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -13.74%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -16.79%E -4.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 16:59
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 19.79%EV -8.27%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -7.65%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.41%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -9.50%E -6.29%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -8.07%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.03%EV -7.65%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%5.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%6.3%2026-02-28 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-02-28 17:01
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%6.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.08%8.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 17:01
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%9.2%2026-02-28 17:00