The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IK Oskarshamn v Östersunds IK

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Oskarshamn 4–1 Östersunds IK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 51.34%1.95fair odd
EV +0.624%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.650%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.74%51.06%51.22%52.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.851.9657.47%54.58%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds IK (Visit)

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.27%27.32%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.383.383.5230.77%29.59%29.63%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.43%4.67fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.16%21.68%21.46%22.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.364.384.5023.81%22.95%22.86%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 51.34%; Östersunds IK (Visit): 27.23%; Draw: 21.43%. For IK Oskarshamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.624%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.74%EV +0.624%E +0.319%K +0.650%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -3.57%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -3.57%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -3.57%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -3.57%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 16:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.72%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.72%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.72%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.79%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.10%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.86%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-25 16:45
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -8.93%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-25 15:30
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.24%EV -9.64%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.12%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.93%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -9.64%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-25 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -10.67%E -6.13%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -8.93%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-25 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-09-25 16:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-09-25 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%7.4%2026-09-25 15:50
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%8.2%2026-09-25 15:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-09-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-09-24 12:44
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-09-24 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-09-24 12:44